根據(jù)美國(guó)雪茄協(xié)會(huì)公布的數(shù)據(jù),，今年1-7月份,，美國(guó)進(jìn)口的優(yōu)質(zhì)手工雪茄一共是2.528億支,，和2022年同期相比，進(jìn)口量下降了3.4%,，考慮到今年一季度的數(shù)據(jù)同比下降了8.8%,，七月份的數(shù)據(jù)下降并不完全出乎意料。
美國(guó)仍然是全球最大的雪茄消費(fèi)市場(chǎng),。尼加拉瓜是美國(guó)的第一大進(jìn)口雪茄來(lái)源地,，有1.391億支雪茄，占55%,。前七個(gè)月,，多米尼加共和國(guó)的雪茄進(jìn)入美國(guó)的數(shù)量是7290萬(wàn)支，占28.8%,。洪都拉斯緊隨其后,，出貨量是3980萬(wàn)支，占比15.7%,。這三個(gè)國(guó)家的雪茄出貨量占了美國(guó)雪茄進(jìn)口量的99.5%,。
這三個(gè)國(guó)家里,，今年前七個(gè)月，出貨量保持增長(zhǎng)的是多米尼加,，同比增長(zhǎng)5%,。尼加拉瓜、洪都拉斯的出貨量較去年同期有所下降,。
就單月份來(lái)看,，今年的1、2月份和去年同期相差不大,，3,、4月份的雪茄進(jìn)口量大幅度下降，5月份較去年同期增長(zhǎng)了15%,，6,、7月份的進(jìn)口量和去年同期基本接近。
2022年,，美國(guó)進(jìn)口雪茄的數(shù)量是4.644億支,，如果按照目前的進(jìn)口下降趨勢(shì)，今年美國(guó)的最終進(jìn)口雪茄可能低于4.5億支,。
媒體把美國(guó)這幾年雪茄銷(xiāo)量的大幅度增長(zhǎng)稱(chēng)為“新雪茄熱潮”,，和幾年前相比，這幾年的雪茄銷(xiāo)售量確實(shí)令人深刻,。2014年到2017年,，美國(guó)全年的雪茄進(jìn)口量不到2.4億支。再往前翻到1997年,，單年的進(jìn)口量沒(méi)有達(dá)到4億支的。
雖然2023年還有幾個(gè)月的時(shí)間,，我們判斷去年的雪茄進(jìn)口會(huì)出現(xiàn)小幅放緩,。
美國(guó)雪茄協(xié)會(huì)主席David M.Ozgo表示，考慮到經(jīng)歷了兩年不同尋常的增長(zhǎng)后,，2023年進(jìn)口放緩是可以接受的,。
附原文：
Premium, handmade cigars are still pouring into the United States, but the latest data from the Cigar Association of America shows a decrease of 3.4 percent in imports when compared to the same period in 2022. The decrease is not entirely unexpected, but it wasn’t as pronounced as the decline in first quarter imports, which were down 8.8 percent.
Between January and July, 252.8 million handmade, premium cigars were shipped to the United States, which is the world’s largest market for cigars. Nicaragua remains the leading producer, with shipments of 139.1 million (55 percent of all imports). The Dominican Republic ranks second, with 72.9 million cigars shipped (28.8 percent market share) and Honduras is the third leading producer, with 39.8 million (15.7 percent). These three accounted for 99.5 percent of all shipments, showing the utter dominance of this trio of cigar-producing nations.
The Dominican Republic was the sole producer showing an increase for the first seven months of the year, with shipments up nearly five percent. Both Nicaragua and Honduras showed decreases.
Looking at the year so far, things have been up and down. January and February 2023 were very similar to the same months of 2022; March and April showed big declines (14 percent and 15 percent, respectively) and May showed a 13 percent increase over May 2022. June and July were statistically close to last year’s numbers.
Cigar imports rose 1.8 percent in 2022, to 464.4 million cigars. If the current rate of decline would hold for the entire year, we would end up with just shy of 450 million cigars imported.
The years of substantial growth in American cigar sales has been dubbed “The New Cigar Boom.” While these numbers are down a bit from 2022 levels, they are still very impressive when compared to numbers from only a few years ago. Shipments for a full year were less than 240 million annually between 2014 and 2017. Before The New Cigar Boom, imports hadn’t reached the 400 million mark since 1997.
A small slowdown like this is expected—and many months of data remain before we can fully judge 2023.
“While 2023 growth has been somewhat muted, it comes after two years of unusual growth,” says David M. Ozgo, president of the Cigar Association of America.
